Tropical Depression Nine forms, could hit Florida as hurricane

Hi there first morning meteorologist eric Burris wanted to get you the very latest on the tropics and of course as of five o’clock this morning we transitioned, invest 98 over to tropical Depression nine. This is the five AM advisory expected to become *** tropical storm over the next few days and by early next week *** hurricane. And obviously you see that forecast cone, something we certainly never like to see. But let’s take *** bit of *** deeper dive and see what’s doing here. Why is it that Tropical Depression nine is anticipated not only to get stronger but to become *** hurricane? Well, to understand that you have to look at first off what’s happening right now, there’s *** storm system. First off, it’s it’s awful far to the south. It’s it’s *** fairly sheared apart system because its proximity to land, it’s awful far to the south. Here’s *** loop of it. Okay. And you can very clearly see that area of low pressure kind of still detached, relatively speaking from that center of circulation. But over the next few days it’s going to be moving over some of the highest potential energy in the entire tropical basin. Water temperatures where it is now are sitting at about 84 85 five degrees, but south and off to the west of Jamaica. That becomes 86 87 88 seriously, 88 to 89 degree water temperatures. And not only is it hot, but it’s deep. Remember as tropical systems churn, they make these monstrous waves and that generates upwelling and sometimes if they if they’re not moving very fast that could weaken *** storm system *** lot of times it doesn’t really play into it. But in this case even if it up wells it’s deep hot water that’s going to be *** major player. So once it gets to around Jamaica these next few days, we do expect it to intensify after that. Of course. Well you’ve got some land interaction near cuba and then the florida peninsula. So how does this play out in terms of timeline? Right, how does this play out in terms of intensity? Let’s take *** look at the two models side by side. This is going to be the GFS and the european and what we’re going to look for on this is going to be the winds. Okay, so let’s just roll through time here and right off the bat, let’s let’s just look at like monday morning. Alright, there you go, you’ve got the european which is going *** little weaker, getting into some of the deeper orange shades. We’re talking strong tropical storm, whereas the GFS is already like bro, we got this, we’re getting into hurricane status. Okay, so there’s the first thing is the GFS is certainly intensifying this *** bit quicker than the european. Through time. You’ve got both models going over the western tip of CUba, the land isn’t quite as high terrain there so it shouldn’t play significantly into the storm system and then after you’ve got *** kind of *** disparagement of locations exact and um landfall points right? six a.m. Wednesday? According to the european. We’re kind of coming ashore here around the Naples area whereas the GFS says no we’re gonna keep it off the shore line, continue to intensify it and you know we’re getting into 100 plus mile per hour winds and then of course from there you’ve got the european already crossed. Whereas the GFS is just making landfall by nine p.m. Wednesday and then kind of moving through. One thing that’s interesting is that the GFS keeps the storm system over us. The european is taking *** beeline for the outer banks which I think at least in this case that the european would probably be *** little more likely in that kind of longer term scenario. So for us right now what we know is very basic. Okay, this is the hits runs and errors could become *** tropical storm later today. Next name on the list is her mean though there is another wave way out there off the coast of africa that may take lead. Okay then we’re watching for continuing development through the weekend next week. Mid ish week. This could be *** problem certainly for central florida. Okay we’re watching it. What we know is that it’s working into the gulf of Mexico. What we don’t know is its exact positioning. Alright. Latest computer forecast models on this thing. Pretty tight agreement. Pretty tight in agreement and there you go Wednesday into thursday most of those models bringing it to us. All right. Just keep in mind should we be freaking out? No we shouldn’t. But I also, you know when I discussed this on my coffee talk this morning, we also should know you know somebody on my coffee talk this morning said well it’s it’s just *** cat this or it’s just *** cat that that’s that’s no big deal. And I just caution that thinking because remember Puerto rico just got grazed by *** category one hurricane and obviously there was massive power issues. There was massive flooding issues. Every storm system is different. Its forward speed, its intensity, its exact angle of entry into the peninsula. These are all going to play in and we haven’t zeroed in on *** forecast point yet. Right like think about the very nature of *** forecast cone is not to focus on this part. You’re supposed to say oh it’s going to be somewhere there on Wednesday. Around two a.m. Right, it could be over here heading out toward the Bahamas, it could be all the way over here heading up toward the Panhandle. So stay tuned track it no need to freak out. We’ll watch it, we will be updating around the clock. Okay, alright listen be good I’ll see you for another update *** little bit later on by

NHC forecasts Tropical Depression 9 will hit Florida as Category 3 hurricane

ABOVE: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes deep dive into the tracks and modelsInvest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine Friday morning. It had a new burst of convection and is getting better organized.As of 11 a.m., Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 14 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon. In the latest update, the National Hurricane Center was forecasting the system to hit Florida as a major hurricane, or Category 3 hurricane. “Invest 98-L is now Tropical Depression Nine,” WESH 2 Meteorologist Kellianne Klass said. “This storm is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm later Friday as it moves through the Caribbean. Further intensification is expected through the beginning of next week as it moves toward the peninsula of Florida. The latest track has the storm making landfall early Wednesday morning somewhere between the Suncoast and SW Florida. Still need to watch the exact path of this storm. We could see some of the outer rain bands begin to push through on Tuesday with the main impacts happening on Wednesday. Depending on how quick this storm moves, we could still see lingering impacts into Thursday.”The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and keep tracking the forecast. Latest standard forecast: KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUEDStay tuned to WESH 2 News, WESH.COM, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications.The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per dayCanned food and soup, such as beans and chiliCan opener for the cans without the easy-open lidsAssemble a first-aid kitTwo weeks’ worth of prescription medicationsBaby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapersFlashlight and batteriesBattery-operated weather radioWHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUEDListen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave.Complete preparation activitiesIf you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows.Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANEA smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath.Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | AndroidEnable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts.If you have an Android phone, from the home page of the app, scroll to the right along the bottom and click on “settings.” On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts.PET AND ANIMAL SAFETYYour pet should be a part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death.Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets.Ask friends, relatives and others outside of the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

ABOVE: WESH 2 Meteorologist Eric Burris takes deep dive into the tracks and models

Invest 98-L became Tropical Depression Nine Friday morning.

It had a new burst of convection and is getting better organized.

As of 11 a.m., Tropical Depression Nine was moving west-northwest at 14 MPH with maximum sustained winds of 35 mph. It was located 515 miles east-southeast of Kingston, Jamaica and 1,015 miles southeast of Havana, Cuba. It is expected to become a tropical storm by Friday afternoon.

In the latest update, the National Hurricane Center was forecasting the system to hit Florida as a major hurricane, or Category 3 hurricane.

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This content is imported from Twitter.
You may be able to find the same content in another format, or you may be able to find more information, at their web site.

“Invest 98-L is now Tropical Depression Nine,” WESH 2 Meteorologist Kellianne Klass said. “This storm is expected to strengthen to a tropical storm later Friday as it moves through the Caribbean. Further intensification is expected through the beginning of next week as it moves toward the peninsula of Florida. The latest track has the storm making landfall early Wednesday morning somewhere between the Suncoast and SW Florida. Still need to watch the exact path of this storm. We could see some of the outer rain bands begin to push through on Tuesday with the main impacts happening on Wednesday. Depending on how quick this storm moves, we could still see lingering impacts into Thursday.”

The National Weather Service urged Florida residents and visitors to gather supplies and keep tracking the forecast.

Latest standard forecast:


KNOW WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WATCH IS ISSUED

  • Stay tuned to WESH 2 News, WESH.COM, or NOAA Weather Radio for storm updates.
  • Prepare to bring inside any lawn furniture, outdoor decorations or ornaments, trash cans, hanging plants, and anything else that can be picked up by the wind.
  • Understand hurricane forecast models and cones.
  • Prepare to cover all windows of your home. If shutters have not been installed, use precut plywood.
  • Check batteries and stock up on canned food, first-aid supplies, drinking water, and medications.

The WESH 2 First Warning Weather Team recommends you have these items ready before the storm strikes.

  • Bottled water: One gallon of water per person per day
  • Canned food and soup, such as beans and chili
  • Can opener for the cans without the easy-open lids
  • Assemble a first-aid kit
  • Two weeks’ worth of prescription medications
  • Baby/children’s needs, such as formula and diapers
  • Flashlight and batteries
  • Battery-operated weather radio

WHAT TO DO WHEN A HURRICANE WARNING IS ISSUED

  • Listen to the advice of local officials. If you are advised to evacuate, leave.
  • Complete preparation activities
  • If you are not advised to evacuate, stay indoors, away from windows.
  • Be alert for tornadoes. Tornadoes can happen during a hurricane and after it passes over. Remain indoors, in the center of your home, in a closet or bathroom without windows.

HOW YOUR SMARTPHONE CAN HELP DURING A HURRICANE

A smartphone can be your best friend in a hurricane — with the right websites and apps, you can turn it into a powerful tool for guiding you through a storm’s approach, arrival and aftermath.

Download the WESH 2 News app for iOS | Android

Enable emergency alerts — if you have an iPhone, select settings, then go into notifications. From there, look for government alerts and enable emergency alerts.

If you have an Android phone, from the home page of the app, scroll to the right along the bottom and click on “settings.” On the settings menu, click on “severe weather alerts.” From the menu, select from most severe, moderate-severe, or all alerts.

PET AND ANIMAL SAFETY

Your pet should be a part of your family plan. If you must evacuate, the most important thing you can do to protect your pets is to evacuate them too. Leaving pets behind, even if you try to create a safe space for them, could result in injury or death.

  • Contact hotels and motels outside of your immediate area to see if they take pets.
  • Ask friends, relatives and others outside of the affected area whether they could shelter your animal.

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