Top 100 prospects for MLB Draft 2022: Kumar Rocker rises in Keith Law’s updated big board

The MLB Draft is less than five weeks away, which also seems like another eon has to pass before we get there since the high schools are all done and we’re down to just eight Division I colleges still playing. Some prospects for this year are now playing summer ball, such as Cam Collier playing for the Cotuit Kettleers on the Cape; while others will head to San Diego this weekend for the MLB Combine. After the Combine is over, there won’t be many opportunities left for players to improve their draft stock unless they’re in a summer league, so this new ranking of the top 100 players in the class might change slightly before the draft, but probably not substantially in any way.

As always, this is a ranking, not a mock. I do mock drafts. I do rankings. They’re not the same thing. A mock is not a ranking and a ranking is not a mock. I will say this every year, and there will still be people who think my rankings are mocks and my mocks are rankings. Sixteen years I’ve been doing this, and every year, the same thing happens. Anyway, this is a ranking: It’s the order in which I would draft the players if I were running a team’s draft. I do not, however, consider signability, because I don’t know it for all players and assume that what I’ve heard on some players might not be accurate. I also do not consider medical information unless it’s public.

1. Druw Jones, OF, Wesleyan High (Suwanee, Ga.)

Jones is the son of Andruw Jones, and his game bears many resemblances to his father’s, not least in the outfield, where Druw is already a plus defender and could work his way up to an elite level with experience. At the plate, he shows 70 power thanks to the strength in his wrists and forearms, with more power possible as he fills out further. And he has shown some bat control against amateur competition, with some understanding of when to pull the ball and when to try to go the other way. He’s a plus runner right now but may lose some of that down the road as he gets bigger, as his father did by age 24-25. The real question on Druw is whether he’ll hit – if he does, he’s a superstar, with 30/30 potential and a glove that should save 10 or more runs a year in center. If he’s more of a 45 bat, he still has plenty of major-league value due to the secondary skills, so he could be worth several WAR per year even with a .300ish on-base percentage. He’d have to be a worse hitter than even that to be something less than a regular, and the unlikeliness of that outcome combined with his very high ceiling make him the top prospect in this year’s draft class.

• Jones is having fun despite the pressure

2. Cameron Collier, 3B, Chipola College

Collier is one of the youngest players in this draft class, as he won’t turn 18 until November, but he pulled a Bryce Harper by leaving high school after his sophomore year to attend Chipola College, one of the best junior college baseball programs in the country. It is paying off, as he’s hitting for average and getting on base this spring with solid power production despite being the youngest player on the Chipola roster and younger than every pitcher he’s faced. Collier, whose father Lou played in the majors for several years as an extra outfielder, is 6-foot-2 and may still grow a little with a ton of room to fill out. He’s a third baseman now and good enough to stay there with a 70 arm and the agility to handle the position as the game speeds up. At the plate, he’s more than held his own against much better pitching than what he saw in high school; he’s had some expected issues with breaking stuff but also shown he can adjust to some of those pitches and stay back to take them the other way. He needs to add some more strength to better control the barrel as well as make harder contact, as his hands work well enough at the plate for him to be a plus hitter with average power. He’s committed to Louisville but should be a top-five pick in the draft.

3. Termarr Johnson, SS, Mays High (Atlanta)

Johnson has the best pure hit tool in the draft class, with scouts saying it’s the best hit tool they’ve seen on a high school kid in a decade or more. Despite a small hitch in his swing, he does hit all pitch types and controls the zone, with outstanding hand-eye coordination and great bat speed, making good quality contact but with only average power. He’s a shortstop now but will move to second base in pro ball, with good hands but not the footwork to handle short. I think the present hit tool is a 60, at best, rather than a 70, although perhaps it will get there in time, but he’s swung and missed enough against good competition that the higher grade doesn’t apply just yet. He has exceptional makeup in every evaluation, from his feel for the game to the way he acts as an additional coach on the field to the interviews he’s had with scouts and team executives, so there’s greater confidence that he’ll reach his ceiling than there is for just about any high school player. That ceiling is tied to just how good his hit tool can become.

4. Elijah Green, OF, IMG Academy

Green looks the part of a future star in size, frame, and especially tools, with a strong, athletic 6-3 build, explosive speed, and plus power already that projects to 70 in the future. It’s easy, easy power, with fantastic hand acceleration after a quiet start, and when he gets his arms extended the ball jumps off his bat. All his power comes on pitches on the middle or outer thirds, although he can still make contact on the inner third, just without the same sort of impact. The concern on Green has always been his tendency to swing and miss, especially on stuff in the zone; he doesn’t chase fastballs, but will miss fastball strikes, especially up, and can expand for breaking stuff down and away. He has the most pure upside of the high school position players in the class, with 30/30 potential in a true centerfielder who throws well enough to play right, with a bit more risk than some of the other hitters in the top echelon.

5. Brooks Lee, SS, Cal Poly

Lee has been the best pure hitter among college prospects this year, running a walk-to-strikeout rate over 2.00 all season and punching out well under 10 percent of the time. He controls the zone well and rarely misses fastballs within it, thanks to exceptional hand-eye coordination. His swing is unorthodox and kind of noisy, with some evident effort, but with all that hip and torso rotation he doesn’t always make the high-quality contact teams are looking for in elite prospects. I don’t think Lee is a shortstop long term; he has outstanding hands that will play anywhere on the field, but his ankles are thick and he’s a 40 runner, so the lateral agility that position demands may just be beyond his physical ability. Put him at third base and he should be fine. It’s a bet on the bat, and that a pro department can take this foundation of contact skills and help him get to more consistent contact quality; it’s easier to teach someone to hit the ball harder than it is to teach him to hit the ball in the first place. Lee should be a strong regular who makes some All-Star teams as a third or second baseman, but probably doesn’t project to be a superstar.

• Why Cal Poly’s Brooks Lee passed up millions to stay home

Brooks Lee (Cal Poly Athletics)

6. Jackson Holliday, SS, Stillwater (Okla.) High

I’m not sure anyone has helped himself more than Holliday has this spring, notably during his team’s spring break trip to Arizona in March, where Holliday showed incredibly well in front of a lot of decision-makers in town for spring training. He has one of the best swings in the draft, even with a slight bat wrap, with strong plate coverage and above-average power, more likely to be a high-doubles guy with 15-20 homers than a 30-homer guy even at his peak. He’s been hard to strike out as an amateur, only showing occasional weakness against fastballs up, and so far his pitch recognition has been strong for his age and experience level. He’s improved his defensive skills at shortstop, although there’s also been talk of him moving to centerfield to take advantage of his speed if he can’t stay at short, rather than moving him to second or third. It also hasn’t hurt that his father, Matt, was a longtime big-leaguer and seven-time All-Star, and that scouts have been just as impressed by Jackson’s younger brother, Ethan, who may become a top-5 pick in the 2023 draft. Jackson’s heading for the same range this year.

7. Kevin Parada, C, Georgia Tech

Parada has been one of the best hitters in college baseball this year, tying for sixth in Division 1 with 26 home runs while walking nearly as often as he struck out on the season (32:30 K:BB), and does so despite one of the more bizarre setups you’ll see in a hitter and while handling the most difficult position on the diamond. Parada sets up at the plate with the bat slung over his shoulder like a bag of golf clubs, but gets the bat to the zone on time, even against better velocity. His plate discipline and pitch recognition are both advanced for an amateur and he’s shown some ability to make adjustments in-season already. Behind the plate, he’s adequate as a receiver with fringy arm strength, good enough to stay there because he hits so well. With 20-25 homer power and a potential 60 hit tool at a position of permanent scarcity, he offers some of the best pure value in the draft class.

• Parada improved his defense to become a likely top-10 pick

8. Jace Jung, 3B, Texas Tech

Jung has one of the weirdest setups you will ever see in a hitter above Little League, holding the bat so far behind his back shoulder that you’d think it was covered in a toxic fungus. Or perhaps cooties. Yet he hits — he hit well enough as a sophomore in 2021, with a .337/.462/.697 line and more walks than strikeouts, that he probably would have gone in the top half of the first round last year had he been eligible. The younger brother of Rangers prospect Josh Jung, Jace gets the bat head into the zone in plenty of time to make consistent, high-quality contact, including power, with 21 homers as a sophomore and 14 this season. His position is still the main question; he’s mostly played second base in college, not that well, but doesn’t have the arm for the left side of the infield or the speed to play anywhere else but left field or first base. There’s enough reason to buy his bat that he’s going to go in the top-10 picks even with such a huge unknown in his profile.

9. Zach Neto, SS, Campbell

Neto is a definite shortstop who should be a plus defender in the majors and has a plus arm, but he’s really made himself some money this spring with his performance, including just a mere 7.6 percent strikeout rate for the Camels. He’s got the extraneous movement that you need to have to be a top hitting prospect in this year’s draft, although he calms it down with two strikes; despite that, he’s short to the ball and makes high-quality contact, even hitting for some home-run power that may not persist into pro ball with wood bats and better pitching. He’s spent a little time on the mound, but his future is on the dirt, and with his propensity for putting the bat on the ball and enough power to project as a 30-doubles guy, he should go in the top half of the first round.

10. Gavin Cross, OF, Virginia Tech

Cross is an advanced hitter with above-average power and the potential for more with some swing adjustments, rising thanks to a thin crop of advanced college hitters in this year’s class. He’s improved his approach significantly this year, walking more than he’s struck out in conference play through May 19th, and improving his ball-strike recognition over 2021. He’s an above-average runner who can steal a bag but isn’t fleet enough to stay in center in pro ball. He strides too far at the plate, without transferring his weight as he does so, which cuts off some of his power potential and can leave him unable to drive anything on the outer half. He hasn’t faced much left-handed pitching this year, with a mild platoon split in the sample he’s had, which is just something to watch when he moves into pro ball rather than an immediate concern. He should be a solid regular in an outfield corner, thanks to his hitting and on-base skills, but I’d like to see some swing changes that might unlock more power.

11. Jett Williams, SS, Rockwall-Heath (Texas) High

Williams is the other 5-foot-8 high school shortstop in this draft class, behind Termarr Johnson because of the latter’s elite hit tool … but how far behind, really? He’s a right-handed hitter with a clean, efficient swing, and his hand-eye coordination rivals Johnson’s; Williams almost never swung and missed last summer on the showcase circuit and didn’t show any trouble with velocity when he faced it. He’s an above-average to plus runner, quick enough for shortstop but lacking the arm strength or footwork for the position in the long term, so it’s more likely he’ll move to second base or possibly centerfield. There’s always some trepidation around undersized high school hitters, but I remember a similarly sized right-handed high school shortstop who rarely struck out and hit everything hard — Alex Bregman.

12. Cole Young, SS, North Allegheny High (Wexford, Pa.)

Young has surged up draft boards with a strong showing this spring in the Pittsburgh suburbs. Last summer he would often overstride, and since he nearly bars his lead arm, he was left off-balance enough that he couldn’t adjust to stuff spinning away from him, although he’s quieted all of that down somewhat this spring and scouts have reported seeing better quality contact from him. He’s at least a 55 runner who has the speed and arm to stay at shortstop, although he’ll need some adjustment with his footwork to remain there in the majors. The Duke commit will turn 19 a few weeks after the draft, which will hurt him with certain teams that weigh age more heavily, while teams that focus more on tools and athleticism are likely to push him into the first 15 picks.

13. Brock Jones, OF, Stanford

Jones came into the spring with top-5 pick buzz, then got off to a miserable start for the Cardinal, but he turned his season around when conference play started, hitting .350/.490/.795 in the PAC-12 — albeit with a 26 percent strikeout rate. A former football player who played one year for the Cardinal, Jones has 25 homer/25 speed upside if he hits enough to get to it, with the speed to potentially stay in centerfield. Even in this generally successful season, Jones has done nearly all of his damage on fastballs, whiffing on nearly half of the offspeed pitches he swings at. There are better pure hitters in this year’s draft class, and thus position players with more probability of reaching the big leagues and having some kind of positive value, but Jones beats most of them in potential upside.

14. Daniel Susac, C, Arizona

Susac has actually had a slightly worse sophomore year than freshman year, but the weak draft and the value of his position has moved him up into the top half of the first round. Susac, whose older brother Andrew was a second-round pick in 2014 and has played 114 games in the majors, is a solid-average receiver at worst with a plus arm, giving no doubt that he’ll stay at the position. At the plate, he starts out with an interpretive dance sequence that involves a huge step forward and then erases it with the same move backwards, but of more concern is that his swing is long, and he’s been far more dangerous against fastballs than anything else because adjusting once he’s committed to the swing is difficult. He has produced well enough in a Power 5 conference for two years to be a first-rounder, with a similar projection to Joey Bart’s out of college — low-OBP with power and solid defense.

15. Jordan Beck, OF, Tennessee

Beck has risen up draft boards this spring with a solid, but hardly spectacular, performance, but one that is also supported by tools and athleticism that give scouts reason to believe he can continue to improve in pro ball. Beck has a great build for a hitter, 6-3, 225, with quick wrists and huge raw power that has yet to show up consistently in games, even though he plays in a homer-friendly stadium in Knoxville. He’s very rotational at the plate and has the strength to drive the ball out to all fields, but his approach and pitch recognition have held him back. He’s shown weakness on the outer half, especially on sliders, and expands the zone away too easily. He’s struck out nearly twice as often as he’s walked and hit .252 in regular season SEC play, ranking fourth on the team in homers (16). He’s an above-average runner who plays right field for the Vols because they have a superior defender in center in Drew Gilbert; if he can play center in pro ball, it would substantially add to his value. He’s benefiting from a weak draft class that has left teams looking for upside in unexpected places.

• Volunteers ability to overcome adversity stands out

Jordan Beck (Steven Branscombe / USA Today Sports)

16. Dylan Lesko, RHP, Buford (Ga.) High

Lesko is one of the best high school pitching prospects in the last 20 years, and has one of the best changeups anyone can remember seeing a high school kid throw. He’s 90-96 mph as a starter already, but that’s just the appetizer to the main course of his changeup, which looks just like his fastball out of his hand and finishes with hard tailing action to his arm side. He started throwing an improved curveball this past spring with hard downward break and a very high spin rate, which answered one of the major questions facing him coming into the spring. He takes an enormous stride toward the plate to generate that velocity and seems to repeat the delivery well, with no obvious red flags in his mechanics. Lesko stopped pitching after the mid-April NHSI tournament due to a sore forearm, and underwent Tommy John surgery at the end of that month. The best historical comparison for him might be Lucas Giolito (16th overall in 2012), who suffered an elbow injury during his senior year but didn’t have surgery before the draft, blowing out after one pro inning that summer. Giolito was in the running to go first overall and was a definite top-five selection before the injury, which seems like a good comparable for Lesko, who now seems primed to go somewhere in the middle of the first round.

• Lesko had Tommy John surgery

17. Brock Porter, RHP, St. Mary’s Prep (Orchard Lake, Mich.)

Porter has emerged as one of the top high school right-handers in this class, and right now is the best bet to be the first arm taken from anywhere in the class. He’s been up to 97 this spring with good arm-side run on the pitch, while both his curveball and changeup project as at least above-average offerings when he starts using them more. He offers a ton of projection on his 6-foot-4 frame, with a long stride toward the plate and good extension over his front side. He’s also committed to Clemson, but he’s pitched well enough this spring that he should go high enough to sign.

18. Carson Whisenhunt, LHP, East Carolina

Whisenhunt didn’t pitch for East Carolina this spring after testing positive for a banned substance in the offseason, so he didn’t make his 2022 debut until June 12 when he pitched for the Chatham Anglers of the Cape Cod League. He looked good despite some rust, sitting 92-93 mph and touching 95 mph with an improved curveball and a changeup that flashed plus. It’s a paradox of sorts but he might be better off having missed the spring. While many other first-round contenders among college pitchers have had Tommy John surgery, Whisenhunt is healthy and relatively fresh, making him likely to pitch for most of the remaining minor-league season after the draft. He was ruled ineligible for the NCAA season after testing positive for a banned substance. That left his team without its best pitcher this year, as East Carolina ultimately fell in the super regionals to Texas — perhaps it would be in Omaha if Whisenhunt had been around. However, he is the best healthy college left-hander in the draft right now, with mid-rotation upside.

19. Sterlin Thompson, OF/2B, Florida

Thompson is a draft-eligible sophomore with a pretty left-handed swing and the potential for plus power, showing a solid two-strike approach for the Gators this spring while hitting well even in SEC play. He’s a below-average runner who’s limited to an outfield corner and could end up at first base, which definitely caps his value upside. His best tool is the hit tool, which is the hardest one to evaluate, and if he doesn’t in fact end up with a 55 or 60 hit tool, he’s not going to have much of a role in the majors. Primarily a corner outfielder, Thompson has played a lot of second base this year for the Gators, and improved enough as the season has gone on that many scouts believe he’ll be able to stay there in pro ball. He’s shown he can hit good velocity with doubles power right now, enough that he should be a mid first-rounder this July.

20. Ian Ritchie, RHP, Bainbridge High (Bainbridge, Wash.)

Ritchie is one of the best high school arms in the class when you consider stuff, delivery and projection. He’s comfortably 91-93 mph, touching 95 mph, with good arm-side run, a hard slurve in the low 80s and a changeup with big fading action. (I’ve seen him listed with two different breaking balls, but they run together enough that they’re either just one pitch or function like one.) The UCLA commit has a great pitcher’s build and a loose, easy-to-repeat delivery, although his arm is just a tick late relative to his landing. There’s plenty of projection here to see him sitting 94-95 mph in a few years, which should help the slurve become more like a true slider as well. He has already shown some feel for pitching and ability to throw strikes. He’s the sort of high school arm teams in that market should look to pay with their second picks, even if it takes first-round money.

21. Brandon Barriera, LHP, American Heritage High (Plantation, Fla.)

Barriera ended his season early, choosing to make his final start before his team’s schedule was over, which may become more common going forward (Hunter Greene did this as well) as pitchers try to avoid getting hurt right before the draft. He’s been up to 98 with a very fast arm and shows two very sharp breaking balls, both of which can touch plus, along with an average changeup. He doesn’t offer much projection, but he also doesn’t need it given his present stuff, and his build right now seems sufficient for him to stay a starter. I don’t think he gets great extension over his front side, but it’s a minor quibble. It’s premium stuff, and he’s aggressive on the mound. If he gets to consistent strikes, he’s an above-average starter.

• Barriera is producing eye-opening curveball spin rates

22. Drew Gilbert, OF, Tennessee

Gilbert was a two-way prospect out of a Minnesota high school but had a strong commitment to Tennessee, so he wasn’t drafted until the hometown Twins took him in the 35th round in 2019. He’s only thrown 16 innings for the Vols, none this spring, but he’s turned into a premium defensive center fielder with a strong eye at the plate and ability to hit for average. Gilbert rarely swings and misses, staying back even through contact, with minimal weight transfer — possibly an avenue for a player development group to try to get another half-grade of power out of him. In center, he’s a 6 defender with a 6 arm, doing it more with reads and instincts than pure speed, as he’s just a tick above average as a runner. The defense and contact skills give him a good chance to be a regular, although there’d have to be something more — more power, greater patience — to make him a star.

23. Justin Crawford, OF, Bishop Gorman High (Las Vegas)

The son of Carl Crawford — yes, Carl Crawford is old enough to have a son in the draft, and nothing in this draft year has made me feel any older than that one fact — is quite similar to his dad as a player. He’s at least a 70 runner, with good bat speed, but not much present power or even hard contact yet, although his frame is very projectable and he could get to average power. He sets up with an extremely wide stance, and strides about as far as he can, which may be why he has trouble adjusting to changing speeds. He’s a better defender than Carl was and throws well enough to stay in centerfield. He has above-average regular upside, but may require more time in the minors than the typical first-round high school position player.

24. Adam Mazur, RHP, Iowa

A transfer this year from South Dakota State, Mazur has risen up draft boards in part through his stuff and in part by attrition, as he’s one of the only good college starters in the class to pitch every week this spring. Mazur is a four-pitch starter who’ll hold 92-95 velocity deep into games, getting ahead with the fastball and missing bats with both of his breaking balls, with the slider his best offering, showing good tilt and enough break to get chases from right-handed batters. His changeup might be solid average, although he almost exclusively uses it for left-handed batters, and often prefers to use the curveball in its stead. He’s on the slender side for a starter, but his delivery is good, he throws strikes, and he has a potential out pitch in the slider. In this draft class, that is a no-doubt first-round pick for me.

25. Jacob Melton, OF, Oregon State

Melton has hit .371/.435/.680 for the Beavers over the last two years, taking off after a small tweak by OSU coach Darwin Barney (yep, that one) helped him stay back on the ball more and use the whole field rather than swinging early to try to pull everything. He’s a premium athlete with plus speed, stealing 29 bases in 31 attempts since the start of 2021, and projects to stay in center, where his above-average power gives him a chance to be a strong regular, maybe more. His hands travel a long way due to a high hand load, but he accelerates quickly and gets power from his wrists and from huge hip rotation. He also hasn’t shown a platoon split, unusual for a left-handed amateur batter. He’ll turn 22 about eight weeks after the draft, so he’s on the older side for a college junior, but the speed/power/centerfield combo with production in a power five conference could help him slide into the back of the first round.

26. Peyton Graham, SS, Oklahoma

A midseason swing adjustment that has him staying back more with less extra movement turned Graham from a guy who might have gone back for his senior year to a potential day one pick. Graham was hitting .282/.351/.541 through the end of March, with a 27 percent strikeout rate; since then, he’s hit .370/.454/.721 (through June 10) with a 17 percent strikeout rate, even though most of that latter period was in the SEC. He’s a plus runner who has played a ton of third and shortstop plus a little outfield on the Cape, with enough of a chance to stay at short that he’ll almost certainly start his pro career there. Even with the changes to his approach, he still has some swing and miss concerns, especially on sliders, and probably isn’t a quick-through-the-minors guy. His upside as an above-average regular at short or third could be enough to get him into the late first round.

27. Jacob Berry, OF, LSU

Berry has one of the best pure hit tools in the draft class, with an exceptional combination of contact and power — at the end of the regular season, he had the fewest strikeouts of any hitter with at least 15 homers. He transferred from the University of Arizona to LSU for his junior year, and in the process cut his strikeout rate substantially, with less power on contact (perhaps also a result of moving from 2,400 feet above sea level to 56 feet above it). He has a very simple approach from both sides of the plate, with no stride and just average bat speed, but despite that he’s had no trouble getting to good velocity. Berry has no position — the Tigers have tried him at third and both outfield corners, and he’s been bad everywhere, reminiscent of current Diamondbacks DH Seth Beer when he was at Clemson. That lack of a position limits how valuable he can be, and if he doesn’t hit, there’s no floor. But someone will take him for the potential OBP/power combination he offers, perhaps with the hope he can handle first base.

28. Connor Prielipp, RHP, Alabama

Prielipp had Tommy John surgery at the end of May 2021, ending his college career after just seven starts and 28 innings across two seasons. He returned to throw a bullpen right before the SEC tournament, mostly 90-92 with flashes of the slider he’d had before the injury, when the slider was plus and his changeup was good enough to project him as a starter. He cuts himself off when he lands, coming back a little across his body, although that and the low 3/4 slot also add to his deception. He might have been in consideration for the first-overall pick had he stayed healthy — and performed — but now seems more likely to get a deal in the second half of the first round. As for his future, he could be a high-end starter, and he could easily end up in the bullpen. He’s thrown so little in games that the range of his potential outcomes is huge.

29. Walter Ford, RHP, Pace (Fla.) High

The Vanilla Missile has one of the best arms in the high school class, regularly hitting 97 and sitting 94-95 with great arm speed and a strong starter’s frame at 6-3, 200. Ford moved from Alabama to go to Pace, which produced a first-rounder in 2012 in Addison Russell. Ford also reclassified from the 2023 draft class to this year, making him one of the youngest players in the draft at 17 and 7 months on draft day. He finishes his delivery well and comes down at batters with good angle to the fastball, but his arm can be late and he hasn’t always repeated it as well as he’ll need to for average command and control. He’s mostly worked with the fastball and a downward-breaking slider in the low 80s, up to 85-86, with a changeup he barely uses. He’s probably a slower-developing prospect, especially given his age, but has mid-rotation upside and a frame that should let him hold some innings.

30. Thomas Harrington, RHP, Campbell

Harrington – yes, that’s a cursed name when it comes to the draft, but we’ll forgive him that one transgression – is a command right-hander with a three-pitch mix of at least average stuff. He’s very online to the plate with a quiet delivery that he repeats extremely well. His fastball has been up to 95-96 mph but he pitches more at 91-94 mph, pounding the strike zone with it, going to the slider and changeup for swings and misses, although he does show above-average control of those pitches. He’s walked just 18 batters in 15 starts this year, just 4.9 percent of all batters he faced, while also keeping the ball on the ground for just under 50 percent of the batted balls he’s allowed. He may not have a true out pitch, but with the pitches he has, along with plus control and the ability to keep the ball in the park, he has mid-rotation upside as long as he holds that velocity moving to a five-day rotation.

Thomas Harrington’s rise from walk-on to potential first-rounder

31. Gabriel Hughes, RHP, Gonzaga

Hughes took a big step forward in command this year even as his stuff ticked up, all of which has put him into first-round consideration. He’s sitting 93-94 mph now, touching 97 mph, up almost 2 mph from last year, with a hard slider in the low to mid 80s that misses a lot of bats. He’s huge, 6-foot-5 and 225 pounds already, with a workhorse frame but a longish arm action that he has a hard time repeating. He has a changeup that he barely uses, although it’s been effective when he has. There’s some reliever risk here from the delivery, and the fact that his command is still probably a soft 45, but there’s also big upside given the frame and the two pitches he already has.

32. Robby Snelling, LHP, McQueen High (Reno, Nev.)

Snelling has flown up boards this spring thanks to his athleticism and one of the better curveballs in the class. He’ll sit 92-93 mph and has touched the mid-90s, but the curveball is the selling point here, in the upper 70s with angle and tight rotation. He shifts his hand position for the two pitches, though, visibly on top of the fastball and on the side of the breaking ball, which better hitters might pick up on to distinguish the pitch type out of his hand. He accelerates his arm very well at the end of a pretty clean delivery, with a little bit of a head-jerk at release. He’s a former quarterback who has the athleticism you’d expect from a two-sport player, but many quarterbacks haven’t been able to translate their arm strength into baseball success. He also needs to develop a third pitch, although the fact that he’s left-handed and has a now breaking ball gives him a higher floor than most high school pitchers can offer.

33. Blade Tidwell, RHP, Tennessee

Tidwell started the year on the shelf with what the team termed a “significant shoulder injury,” but returned to the mound in late March and made several starts for the Vols, showing the kind of stuff that made him a potential top-10 pick before the shoulder issues. Tidwell has been up to 99 and regularly sits 94-97 with a solid-average slider that’s 81-87, short but often with tight enough break to elicit chases out of the zone. His command and control are both below average, and he’s had more trouble as he’s gone deeper into games, with 10 walks in 17 innings over his last five SEC outings. Tennessee has used Tidwell judiciously, never pushing him past 14 outs, but that also leaves the question of his durability unanswered. If you think he can start, and that the shoulder issue is not serious, he’s a clear first-rounder, maybe even landing in the top half of the round.

34. Kumar Rocker, RHP, No school

Rocker was the 10th-overall pick last year, selected by the Mets, but the team declined to offer him a contract after finding something they didn’t like in his post-draft physical. Rocker left Vanderbilt to pitch for the independent Tri-City ValleyCats in upstate New York, where he was 95-98 in his first outing with two above-average breaking balls and an adequate changeup, showing a lower arm slot than he had last year. Rocker has shown a plus-plus slider at times in the past, and there’s no reason to think his fastball is back but his slider isn’t. He has always had better control than command, and while he’s shown incredible competitiveness in some games — like the no-hitter he threw in 2019, when he was pushed to 131 pitches — he’s also had outings where he seemed to struggle to adjust mid-game. He has No. 2 starter upside, if healthy, but the risk associated with his medicals may make him a better bet for some team’s second pick.

Kumar Rocker’s successful return to the mound could improve his stock

Kumar Rocker (Steven Branscombe / USA Today Sports)

35. Tucker Toman, 3B, Hammond High (Columbia, S.C.)

Toman, the son of Middle Tennessee coach Jim Toman, is a switch-hitting infielder with the potential to hit for average and power from both sides of the plate, with some risk around his contact skills. He has great bat speed, with a more fluid and powerful swing from the left side, although he had better results batting right-handed over the summer (in a small sample). He’s shown he can handle good velocity, but struggles more against breaking stuff. With below-average speed, he’s limited to third base or second if he stays on the dirt, with enough arm to probably stay at the hot corner – although if he remains on the dirt, it’ll be because of his instincts rather than athleticism or agility.

36. Chase Delauter, OF, James Madison

Delauter had about as bad a spring as any of the players who came into 2022 as first-round candidates — he was dominated by the two left-handers in the Florida State rotation in a series that was very heavily attended by scouts, and just a few weeks later broke his foot, ending his season after 24 games. His gaudy stat line this spring was boosted by a comical 13-for-22 performance with five homers and 10 walks in midweek games against inferior opponents. Delauter opens his front side way too early as he tries to cheat to get to velocity, and thus becomes vulnerable to offspeed stuff moving away. Florida State’s lefties just attacked him with fastballs and he struck out six times in those two games, giving teams the book on how to approach him. There could be more here with a lot of swing and mechanical work, but scouts are concerned he just can’t get to velocity consistently without that early move. He’s played mostly center for the Dukes but will end up a corner in pro ball.

37. Logan Tanner, C, Mississippi St

Tanner is one of the best pure defensive catchers in the draft, with a powerful and accurate arm to boot. He has a high floor as a Reese McGuire-type backup. Whether he can be more will depend on his bat, and this year, he didn’t do enough as a hitter to answer that question. Tanner’s swing is very flat, short to the ball, but without much power or loft to it, so as a result, he hits the ball on the ground too often, and doesn’t make a lot of hard contact. No one doubts his ability to be an asset behind the plate. Could someone see Will Smith potential here, adjusting his swing to try to get to more power?

38. Jackson Ferris, LHP, IMG Academy

Ferris benefited from playing on the same team as Elijah Green this spring, but he might get into the first round because he’s left-handed and sits 93-94, touching 97, with a potentially above-average curveball. Ferris is 6-4 and still projectable, listed at 190 pounds, and is very athletic. His arm is very quick, but it travels a long way from separation to release, with a plunge in the back that can make him late to pronate his arm relative to his landing. He also flies open sometimes, which leads to him missing a lot up and away, although he gets good extension out front. He’s succeeded this spring largely with his fastball, although the curveball has promise and he does have a mid-80s changeup with some tumble. He’s got above-average starter upside with a lot of volatility around the delivery.

39. Justin Campbell, RHP, Oklahoma State

Campbell has plus control and an above-average changeup, and he’s been healthy all season, which puts him in the top 50 in this draft class. He’s had just one start where he’s walked more than three batters through the Big 12 tournament, working mostly with his fringe-average fastball, largely 90-92. His curveball is slow but has solid depth and above-average spin, while the changeup has both fading action and deception from his delivery. His delivery works, and he repeats it well. The main question is whether he has enough fastball to be a starter, especially when he’s pitching every fifth day rather than every seventh. If you think he can start, he’s a high-floor, low-ceiling prospect, but if you think the fastball is too light or can’t be improved, he’s probably a 4A starter.

40. Max Wagner, 3B, Clemson

Wagner is a draft-eligible sophomore who was undrafted out of high school in 2020 and hit just .214/.305/.345 as a sparsely-used freshman for Clemson, but he broke out in the Northwoods League last year and carried that into this spring, tying for third in Division I with 27 homers. He shortened up his path to the ball and stays inside it much better now, allowing the Green Bay native to make more contact and drive the ball consistently, with 60-70 power to his pull side and enough to hit a few out the other way. He doesn’t like the ball down, however, and the way his hands start makes him vulnerable to pretty much anything in the lower third of the zone and down. He’s rough defensively at third and probably ends up in an outfield corner, although he might be better at second base than he is at the hot corner. It’s big power with bat speed for someone looking for an upside play among the college hitters.

41. Dalton Rushing, C, Louisville

Rushing barely played in 2021, as he was backing up the guy who’d become the No. 1 pick in that year’s draft, Henry Davis. But now that he’s no longer in Davis’s shadow, he’s broken out across the board, hitting 23 homers and drawing 50 walks for a .310/.470/.686 line. Rushing has only caught about half of Louisville’s games this year, although scouts feel like he’s an adequate receiver who has enough of a chance to stay there that he should go out as a catcher – and, obviously, the teams that believe that are far more likely to want to draft him higher. He has a strong idea of the strike zone and doesn’t chase out of the zone much, but his bat speed is just fair and he had real trouble with velocity this year. If he can stay behind the plate, he has a chance to be a low-average power guy who adds some value with on-base skills. But if he has to move to first base, he doesn’t have a clear path to be a regular.

42. Mikey Romero, SS, Orange Lutheran

Romero is a bat-first high school position player who probably gets hurt a bit by the presence of similar guys with standout hit tools like Termarr Johnson in this draft. He recognizes pitch types and balls/strikes well, with a tiny stride and compact swing that produces contact without power. He’s a solid defender at short with enough arm to stay there. For a team that believes they can unlock power in a player who already has feel to hit, he’s an ideal candidate, but I do wonder about his ability to adjust to better offspeed stuff given the lack of any stride and the way his front foot rolls over through contact.

43. Jacob Miller, RHP, Liberty Union High (Baltimore, Ohio)

Miller has been dominant at times this spring for his Columbus-area high school, with tremendous stuff that has helped him move up draft boards even with questions about his mechanics. He’s been up to 98 this spring and sits 91-95 with good riding life on the pitch, while his 77-82 mph curveball can show power and tight downward break. His changeup has some promise, with tumble and deception, but he barely uses it. Miller’s delivery has a lot of effort, with a nearly one-piece arm action that’s very short in back and has an early release point out front. The Louisville commit has the size and frame to be a starter with the potential for three pitches, but the delivery will need a fair amount of work to get him there.

44. Jake Madden, RHP, Northwest Florida State

Madden is a super projectable 6-6 right-hander who was originally headed to South Carolina out of high school in 2020, but decommitted to attend Northwest Florida State, where he redshirted for a year and made his debut this past spring. Now committed to Alabama, Madden has been 92-97, working mostly off the fastball but with potential with both his changeup and slider, the former more so than the latter. His arm swing is long but he gets there on time and with a consistent slot just below 3/4. He battled blisters this past spring which probably impacted his command, and he walked 11 percent of batters he faced this spring. It’s No. 2 starter upside with a fair amount of risk, with pure stuff and projection in his favor but the lack of track record and his high walk rates against.

45. Noah Schultz, LHP, Oswego (Ill.) East High

Schultz missed almost the entire spring after contracting mono in March, but did return in mid-May and appeared to have recovered fully from the illness. He’s 6-9 and very projectable, coming from a very low 3/4 slot that will, of course, elicit comparisons to Randy Johnson and Chris Sale. The slot alone gives him deception against left-handed batters, and his height gives him some natural extension to further that. He has a sweepy slider that projects to plus. He should end up throwing comfortably in the mid-90s given his frame and the way his arm works, with his changeup a clear third among his current offerings. He’s considered a very tough sign due to his Vanderbilt commitment. Bear in mind, history is working against Schultz becoming a durable starter: Only five pitchers in MLB history 6-9 or taller have thrown at least 500 innings, and only three have topped 1,000. One of them is in the Hall of Fame, though, and I’m sure any team making a run at Schultz this spring will have Randy Johnson on their minds.

46. Jonathan Cannon, RHP, Georgia

Cannon added a cutter this year and has been throwing harder, both from regaining arm strength he lost after a bout with mono in 2021 and from shifting from throwing more two-seamers to throwing more four-seamers, and through late April it looked like he might get into the first round. He stumbled down the stretch, giving up four or more runs in each of his last five outings, 26 earned runs in 26 innings in that span, including a brutal outing against VCU in the regionals, so scouts’ final looks at him were nowhere near as good. Cannon is up to 97-98 and sits 93-95, but hitters have never missed his fastball like you’d expect, and his slider is fringy, leaving him with just the cutter as a potential out pitch. It’s more a 55 now than a 60 or better, short and hard but, again, not missing as many bats as it should. He’s 6-6 but his slot is a bit below 3/4, and hitters see the ball for almost his entire delivery, so he’s not getting any deception to help his stuff play up. He does throw a ton of strikes and has the size and frame teams like in future starters, but for him to get to be even a No. 4 he’ll need to miss more bats, and getting there probably means altering his delivery to get him more deception or more life on the fastball.

47. Jud Fabian, OF, Florida

Fabian turned down over $2 million from the Red Sox, who took him in the second round last year, but in so doing gave up one of his big advantages from last year’s draft — his youth, as he didn’t turn 21 until last September. In 2021, he was among the leaders in Division 1 with 79 strikeouts in 59 games, and hit just .249, unusually low for a top prospect, even in the SEC. He struggled badly on fastballs up and sliders down and away, showing little willingness to make in-season adjustments. He’s laying off more of those sliders when they’re out of the zone now, and those better swing decisions have helped cut his strikeout rate significantly from last year, although those vulnerabilities are both still there and his average was below .250 as the SEC season was ending. He offers plus defense in center along with plus power, enough that he should go a little higher than he did last year, but as a fourth-year college player who’ll be 22 a month after the draft, his leverage is much lower this time around.

Jud Fabian (Gary McCullough / AP)

48. Nick Morabito, OF, Gonzaga College High

Morabito was a pop-up guy in the mid-Atlantic this year who ended the spring with scouts asking if he was this year’s James Triantos, a second-round pick by the Cubs last year who is already showing a plus hit tool at age 19 in A-ball. Morabito is cut of a slightly different cloth, as he’s a 70 runner with plus raw power that hasn’t always appeared in games, with bat speed to get to fastballs but some breaking ball recognition questions. He played shortstop for his high school, but lacked the arm or footwork to stay there; second base is the easy answer but he has the speed for center and did play there at the end of the spring. He doesn’t offer a ton of physical projection at 5-foot-11, 180 pounds, but the Virginia Tech commit has untapped power that could make him a strong regular in center if some team helps him get to it.

49. Sonny DiChiara, 1B, Auburn

Sonny D is a large senior slugger for Auburn, a transfer from Samford who has hit 20 homers with more walks than strikeouts for the Tigers, even hitting well in-conference. He clobbers fastballs, can tell a ball from a strike, and doesn’t chase out of the zone very often. He’s also a DH in waiting, given his girth, and hasn’t shown that he can hit decent breaking stuff. He demolished left-handed pitching this year, but if a right-hander can land a breaking ball in or near the zone, DiChiara has trouble with it. He’s going to turn 23 in August, which will kill him in many teams’ draft models, but a team willing to take a chance on the power/OBP skills will get a great senior sign here.

50. Eric Brown, SS, Coastal Carolina

Brown is a toolsy shortstop with running speed and quick wrists, producing in college and on the Cape despite a very unusual, noisy approach that makes it hard for him to get his bat to the zone on time. He starts with his hands in front of his face, waggling the bat, so he never really comes set, succeeding because his hands are fast, but with enough extraneous movement that scouts question how well he’ll hit with this same approach once he’s in pro ball. Part of his success is very strong ball-strike recognition – he doesn’t chase out of the zone much at all, and almost never does so on fastballs. He’s a plus runner with the footwork and arm to stay at shortstop, so he has a fairly high floor – and even with the noisy approach, he has hit, .330/.460/.544 this year for Coastal with more walks than strikeouts. I don’t love how he does it, but he gets it done.

51. Roman Anthony, OF, Stoneman-Douglas High

Anthony has plus power from the left side and a big, strong frame, with a very pretty swing that produces some hard contact. He’s had issues with offspeed recognition, leaving his hit tool more in question than the power, although he seemed to improve on that this spring against regular (not summer) competition. There’s more concern that he’s vulnerable inside at this point than that he can’t pick up spin. The Ole Miss commit has played center in high school but with just average running speed he’s more likely to end up in right. The swing works and he has power, giving him everyday upside if you believe in the hit tool.

52. Trey Dombroski, LHP, Monmouth

In a year without premium college arms – at least, not healthy ones – the guys who lack huge stuff but can really pitch are getting a boost. Dombroski has elite control, with 70 percent of his pitches going for strikes, and he does it with all four pitches. He’ll touch 93 mph but works more at 88-91, leaning heavily on his slider to keep hitters from squaring up the fastball, with both the slider and curveball missing enough bats to grade out as 55s. He has a changeup that he barely uses, with a lot of action that probably would make it less effective if he threw it too much. There isn’t a ton of deception in his delivery, which is low-effort and has him very online toward the plate, with everything coming from a consistent 3/4-low slot. Dombroski walked 14 batters in 15 starts this year, and his career walk rate for Monmouth is just 3.7 percent, after he walked 2 batters in 31 innings on the Cape last year (1.6 percent). He did give up 10 homers this past season in 95 innings, after allowing none in his first two seasons for the Hawks, which is always a concern for a pitcher whose fastball is light. If he doesn’t lose any further stuff moving to five-day rotations in pro ball, or even gains a little with pro coaching, he has third/fourth-starter potential, but the downside is he becomes so homer-prone he doesn’t have a role in the majors.

53. Bradley Loftin, LHP, DeSoto Central High (Miss.)

Loftin is very athletic with a loose arm, up to 94 mph already with a plus changeup, and he just started throwing a breaking ball this year, showing enough with it to give him a three-pitch starter projection. He’s considered a tough sign given his strong commitment to Mississippi State, but I wouldn’t be surprised if some team with a big bonus pool makes a run at him.

54. Cooper Hjerpe, LHP, Oregon State

Hjerpe had eye-popping numbers this spring for the Beavers, with a Division I-leading 161 strikeouts and a strikeouts-per-nine-innings rate that ranked second, behind only a 23-year-old sophomore at FIU. Hjerpe does it with two potentially plus secondary pitches in his slider and changeup – the former getting big sweeping action from his low slot, while the latter is helped by the deception in his delivery. The delivery is one of the main concerns, however, as Hjerpe cuts himself off and comes way across his body, while he delivers the ball from a very low slot not far above sidearm. The other concern is that his fastball is ordinary, 88-93 mph now, with multiple scouts saying they fear it’ll go backwards in pro ball when he’s asked to pitch every fifth day. He may be able to start thanks to those two secondary pitches, but there is no big-league starter in recent memory who was this cross-body, so Hjerpe may have a lot more upside in the bullpen instead.

55. Andrew Dutkanych, RHP, Brebeuf Jesuit Prep (Indianapolis)

Dutkanych came out hot this spring, hitting 98 in early starts and spurring talk that he’d go in the first round, but he started to struggle with control as the season went on, walking eight in one outing, leading to questions of whether he’s going to go high enough in the draft for him to be signable. Dutkanych has a huge arm, as mentioned, with big power to his downward-breaking slider as well, along with a curveball in the upper 70s that’s much less consistent and lacks the tightness of the slider. His arm action is very short and hard to repeat, although he’s on time and gets out over his front side well enough. He’s committed to Vanderbilt, where he’d be age-eligible for the draft as a sophomore, which might make him a very tough sign if he’s not going in the first round or close to it. His late-season struggles have put that in some doubt.

56. Jared Jones, C, Walton High (Marietta, Ga.)

Jones has a great right-handed swing with plus power, and if someone believes he can stay behind the plate, he could go in the top 40 picks. He’s very big for the position, though, at 6-foot-5, 235 pounds – very few big league catchers that tall have been able to stay healthy and productive – and he’ll turn 19 on Aug. 1, which hurts him with teams that weigh age in their models. The LSU commit has a good swing with strong hands and great hip rotation, but his recognition of offspeed stuff lags behind, so there’s a fair question of whether he’ll get to the power right away. The power/position combination gives him huge upside for a team that’s very patient.

57. Peyton Pallette, RHP, Arkansas

Pallette might have been a top-10 pick had he not undergone Tommy John surgery in January before the college season started, but teams’ confidence in that operation and the quality of his stuff last year may still get him into the top two rounds. Last spring, Pallette was 92-96 mph with a wipeout curveball that has exceptional spin rates and tight downward break, along with a mid to upper 80s changeup that he mostly deploys against lefties with good results. It’s a simple delivery but his arm is pretty consistently late, which can put some more stress on the arm, although I’m not saying that the delivery caused the injury. He does have the three-pitch mix to start, so if a team is comfortable with his rehab and with his limited track record of just 11 college starts and 61.2 innings in total, he could become their second pick.

58. Sal Stewart, 1B, Westminster Christian High (Miami)

Stewart has a tough profile as a high school hitter who’s going to end up a first baseman, but he hits and hits for power with a quiet approach and good recognition of offspeed stuff. He’s a Vandy commit and may be a tough sign.

59. Ike Irish, C, St. Mary’s Prep (Orchard Lake, Mich.)

Irish takes the Juan Soto two-strike approach to ridiculous lengths, with a stance so wide it puts his pant seams at risk, but his main selling point is his defense, as he has a plus arm and shows both agility and feel behind the plate.

60. Henry Williams, RHP, Duke

Williams was 88-93 mph as a starter last year with two above-average secondaries in the slider and changeup. And at 6-foot-5, 200 pounds, he offers some physical projection as well, but his elbow went and he had Tommy John surgery in the offseason. He only threw 37 innings in 2021 due to elbow and forearm issues, so scouts have limited looks at him.

61. Cade Doughty, 3B, LSU

Doughty hits with a super-wide stance in all counts, making it surprising he showed the power he did this year (19 doubles and 15 homers for a .567 slugging percentage). He played mostly third and second for the Tigers with a little bit of shortstop, and profiles best at second.

62. Cole Phillips, RHP, Boerne (Texas) High

Phillips hit 98 mph earlier this spring, a big jump from where he was in the fall, with potential for a plus curveball, but his elbow gave out and he underwent Tommy John surgery in early April. He’s committed to Arkansas, where he’d be sophomore-eligible – and, one presumes, healthy – in 2024.

63. Dylan Beavers, OF, California

Beavers is a strong, 6-foot-4 outfielder with big power but an unusual swing path that has led to questions about his future hit tool. He hit .291/.427/.634 for the Golden Bears this spring with 17 homers, after he swatted 18 for them last spring. He makes a sharp move down and slightly back when he begins his swing, and whether you want to call it a hitch or not, it’s not helping him with timing, leading to trouble with breaking stuff and a lot of groundballs because his hands are moving upwards and he gets on top of the ball. He does have good bat speed and is athletic enough that he might end up a plus defender in right, although the odds are against him staying in center. If he can work around this swing issue, or some team can smooth it out, he has above-average regular upside thanks to his speed and pitch recognition.

64. Drew Thorpe, RHP, Cal Poly

Thorpe was the Mustangs’ Friday night starter and excelled despite pitch-calling that had him throwing 60 percent offspeed pitches. His changeup is plus and his slider isn’t far behind, while his fastball is 87-92 mph and is lighter than you’d want for a right-handed starter. He’s walked just 6.2 percent of batters faced this spring.

65. Bryce Hubbart, LHP, Florida State

Hubbart is a strike-thrower with huge spin on an upper-80s fastball and a deceptive delivery, but he lacks an above-average second pitch and has little margin for error given his current velocity.

66. Cutter Coffey, SS, Liberty High (Bakersfield, Calif.)

Coffey was so bad at the plate last summer that scouts wanted to put him on the mound, where he was 90-94 mph with good sink and a promising slider. But he looked better as a hitter this spring, albeit against terrible competition. He has a good swing with bat speed and hip rotation to drive the ball, but was undone last summer by poor pitch recognition.

67. Jacob Watters, RHP, West Virginia

Watters started the year in the Mountaineers’ bullpen, where he hit 99 mph a few times, so the team moved him to the rotation around midseason, where he struggled more with control (37 walks in 50.2 innings) but also showed enough that some scouts think he can start in pro ball. Watters sits 94-97 mph with a power slider in the mid-80s that can miss bats … when he locates it. It’s not a bad delivery, with a reasonably short arm stroke and strong finish, so that’s not the reason he doesn’t throw strikes, but it’s true across all of his pitches. It’s much more likely he ends up a power reliever with two plus pitches. But with enough of a changeup to start and a delivery that looks like it should work, I wouldn’t be surprised to see a pro team keep him in the rotation.

68. Landon Sims, RHP, Mississippi St

Sims was a reliever for the Bulldogs when they won the College World Series in 2021, punching out 100 batters in 56.1 innings over 25 appearance. He moved to the rotation to start the 2022 season and was outstanding, striking out 46 percent of batters in three starts before his elbow barked and he joined the parade of top draft prospects undergoing Tommy John surgery. Sims does it mostly with his fastball, working 91-95 mph as a starter this spring and 93-96 mph as a reliever last spring, throwing it about three-quarters of the time, with a short but tight slider as his only real secondary pitch. As a reliever, he should rip through the low minors, and he’s shown he can be effective in multi-inning stints without losing his stuff. A team might try to keep him as a starter and develop a third pitch, knowing that he has the floor of a good reliever, which remains his most likely major-league role.

Landon Sims (Steven Branscombe / USA Today Sports)

69. Cayden Wallace, 3B, Arkansas

Wallace is a draft-eligible sophomore who has underperformed expectations this spring, cutting his strikeout rate from last year but also hitting for less power. His swing is sound with good rotation and what looks like the right angle for line-drive power, so it might be a matter of building strength, although he’s also had huge trouble on changeups.

70. Ivan Melendez, 1B, Texas

Melendez owns one of the best nicknames in the draft this year, “The Hispanic Titanic,” and has earned the moniker with a Division I-leading 32 homers through 65 games for Texas, putting him three ahead of everyone else going into the College World Series. It’s power over hit, as his pitch recognition is just fair, and he can chase fastballs up and breaking stuff down, but when he gets a hold of one the ball flies off his bat. He’s limited to first base, and he’ll be 22.5 on draft day, so he’s more of a second-rounder even with the huge home run total.

71. Parker Messick, LHP, Florida State

Messick was one of the most dominant starters in Division I this year, with a strikeout-to-walk rate of about 9.5, but he does it with mirrors – he’s mostly 89-92 mph, with good secondary characteristics, getting a lot of deception from a funky delivery and pairing it with a solid-average changeup. Multiple scouts have commented on his apparent lack of conditioning and whether he’d hold up as a pro starter.

72. Tristan Smith, LHP, Boiling Springs High (Spartanburg, S.C.)

Smith will show three pitches, with the curveball probably plus in the future, and a quick arm, but he gets across his body and finishes abruptly at release. He’s had issues with command as well, struggling to throw strikes against better competition last summer. He just turned 19 and will be sophomore-eligible if he goes to Clemson, which seems like the best bet right now.

73. Brady Neal, C, IMG Academy

Neal reclassified to move up into the 2022 draft class, and won’t turn 18 until October. After last summer, most scouts thought he’d be better off heading to LSU, but he’s caught well this spring and showed enough with the hit tool that he could go in the second or third round. He played with a finger injury for part of the spring, which may have hurt his production.

74. Hunter Barco, RHP, Florida

Barco became the latest prospect to undergo Tommy John surgery – there are eight on this list right now – just as he was moving up into possible late first-round territory, thanks to his best year yet, although his stuff was the same as always: low-90s fastball, low-80s slurve from a low 3/4 slot that’s tough for hitters to pick up.

75. Jordan Sprinkle, SS, UC Santa Barbara

Sprinkle is a plus runner and twitchy athlete with a good body for the infield, but he was inconsistent with the bat, performing worse this spring than in 2021. He’s had consistent trouble recognizing offspeed stuff, but if that improves at some point he has first-round tools and upside, especially since he might stay at short.

76. Dominic Keegan, C, Vanderbilt

Keegan exploded this year at the plate in a generally underperforming Vanderbilt lineup, hitting .371/.458/.646, which suddenly makes his defense behind the dish look better, doesn’t it? He’s probably going to be a fringy defender in the end, but if he hits, no one will care.

77. Clark Elliott, OF, Michigan

Elliott has quick wrists and destroyed right-handed pitching for the Wolverines, but he’s got a huge platoon split, and despite above-average speed, he played right field for Michigan. He looks like he should have more power but has just 21 homers in 119 career games in college.

78. Josh Kasevich, SS, Oregon

Kasevich is a true shortstop and one of the hardest hitters in D1 to strike out, with just 16 punchouts in 277 plate appearances. He’s a fringy runner and doesn’t have much power, but has more defensive chops and strength than David Fletcher did as an amateur – and Fletcher actually struck out more.

79. Spencer Jones, OF, Vanderbilt

Jones has big raw power and a plus arm, but trouble with breaking ball recognition has held him back at the plate this year, leading to a 28 percent strikeout rate and just 12 homers in 61 games.

80. Ryan Clifford, OF, Pro5 Baseball Academy (Apex, N.C.)

Clifford looks like a college outfielder already, at 6-foot-3 and 200-plus pounds, with strength for plus raw power even though he hits with no stride at all. He’s more power than hit right now, struggling to pick up breaking stuff, and a below-average runner who’ll have to play an outfield corner. He turns 19 the day after the draft ends and could be a draft-eligible sophomore in 2024 for Vanderbilt.

81. Brandon Sproat, RHP, Florida

A last-minute change of heart took Sproat to Gainesville even though the Rangers took him in the seventh round in 2019. It’s first-round stuff – he’s 94-97 mph, touching 99 mph, with huge life on the pitch; and his short, downward-breaking slider is plus when he hits it. He’s just wildly inconsistent from execution to straight-up control, losing his rotation spot for the Gators briefly and walking 33 in 89.2 innings.

82. Noah Samol, LHP, Mason (Ohio) High

Samol didn’t pitch last year while coming back from Tommy John surgery, but he’s been up to 97 mph this year with a hammer curveball that’s one of the best in the class, with added deception from his 6-foot-7 frame. He also got a perfect 36 on his ACTs, which will make for a nice bit of trivia when he reaches the majors.

83. Reggie Crawford, LHP, Connecticut

Crawford is the biggest wild card among the wild cards of the pitchers who’ve had Tommy John surgery in this draft class because he’s barely pitched, with just 20.1 innings in total across two springs with UConn, and two summers in collegiate leagues and with Team USA. He did strike out exactly half of the batters he faced in that span, sitting 94-97 mph and touching 99 mph, occasionally mixing in a fringy slider. He spent more time as a power-hitting first baseman for the Huskies who couldn’t hit a breaking ball, so the mound is probably his best bet for a big-league career. But even with the athleticism of the typical two-way player, how can you project him to start with just a huge fastball and very little track record?

84. Paxton Kling, OF, Central High (Martinsburg, Pa.)

Kling is very strongly committed to LSU, and he’ll be sophomore-eligible there because he turned 19 in May. He’s added some strength this offseason but is still projectable, with loose hands and a sound swing. He has a plus arm and right now has the speed to project as a center fielder. I wouldn’t be shocked to see him go in the top 10 in two years.

85. Jordan Taylor, OF, St. John’s Country Day High (Orange Park, Fla.)

Taylor is a 70 runner and 60 defender in center with tremendous athleticism, but he’s changed his swing a bunch of times and has had trouble timing pitches consistently at the plate. He’s also going to be over 19.5 at the draft, so he could end up at Florida State where he’ll be sophomore-eligible.

86. Zach Maxwell, RHP, Georgia Tech

Maxwell walked a man an inning through the end of March, but he’s been a different guy since the start of April, throwing 65 percent of his pitches for strikes, with a mid-90s fastball and plus slider. He does need a third pitch and still walks more guys than he should, but the improvement is enough for someone to try to make him a starter in pro ball.

87. Nate Savino, LHP, Virginia

Savino matriculated early at UVA in 2020, a choice that probably cost him over $1 million in the end. He’s been up to 95 mph this spring but lives more at 89-92 mph with a bucket of average stuff. His delivery is easy, but he’s had trouble throwing strikes this year, walking four batters in each of his last three starts in April.

88. Jack O’Connor, RHP, Bishop O’Connell High (Arlington, Va.)

O’Connor is a projectable 6-foot-5 right-hander who has a potential plus pitch in his curveball, although a shorter arm action – who on earth did that to this kid – has taken it down a half-grade from last summer. He was 89-94 mph in his team’s playoff game against Nick Morabito’s club in May and has been up to 95 mph before, throwing strikes with a low-effort delivery. He does need a better third pitch and could be better off finding a happy medium between his old and current deliveries. He’s committed to Virginia but he’ll more likely get the mechanical help he needs in pro ball.

89. Gavin Turley, OF, Hamilton High (Chandler, Ariz.)

Turley is more tools than skills right now, with plus power and plus running speed, but a below-average hit tool. He also plays right field for his high school team, which is surprising for a high school player who can run.

90. Riley Stanford, RHP, Buford (Ga.) High

Stanford is 6-foot-4 with a frame to be a workhorse starter, already up to 96 mph with a power breaking ball, but he’s very raw in every other way – delivery, command, a third pitch. He’s athletic enough that he should be able to develop a delivery he can repeat, although he might end up doing that at Georgia Tech.

91. Jacob Reimer, 3B, Yucaipa (Calif.) High

Reimer is a strong right-handed hitter with good ball-strike recognition and at least average power right now. He’s played shortstop but is going to move to third base in pro ball, if not a corner outfield spot.

92. R.J. Austin, SS, Pace Academy

Austin is a solid athlete with quick hands and the makings of a good swing, but his pitch recognition lags behind his peers. He’s run plus times in the 60 but it doesn’t often show up in games. He’s got a plus arm and could end up staying at shortstop with more work.

• Austin combines deep love of the game with an unrelenting drive

R.J. Austin (USA Baseball)

93. Max Martin, SS, Moorestown (N.J.) High

Martin has a great right-handed swing and enough bat speed to hit velocity, but his recognition of offspeed lags behind. He’s quick enough for shortstop, but his actions and arm might push him to second base in the long term.

94. Marcus Johnson, RHP, Duke

Johnson works with an extremely short arm stroke, sitting 92-94 mph as a starter with a downward-breaking slider and hard changeup. The slider flashes plus but the delivery deprives him of consistency, with hitters especially getting to his fastball. He has the weapons to be a starter if someone helps him refine or overhaul his arm action.

95. Silas Ardoin, C, Texas

Son of former big leaguer Danny Ardoin, Silas is one of the best defensive catchers in the draft class and has shown enough contact skills to project as a solid backup in the majors who could end up more if he gets to better contact. He’s a plus defender with a plus arm, getting strong reports from scouts in all aspects of catching. At the plate, he has good hand-eye coordination, but struggles with good velocity and hasn’t hit well against breaking stuff either, with his .276/.399/.526 line this year by far his best, including 12 of his 13 career homers for the Longhorns. He offers a high floor as a Reese McGuire-type backup, and perhaps some team thinks they can convert his ability to put the ball in play into more production.

96. Jacob Misiorowski, RHP, Crowder College

Misiorowski is 6-foot-7 and has been up to 100 mph in his first full year pitching for two-year Crowder, making just two appearances for the school in 2021 before a knee injury ended his season. His fastball has good carry and his slider is a wipeout pitch, while he gets great extension out front from his size. The LSU commit was walking a man an inning earlier this season, but brought his walk rate down the more he pitched, although he still has 40 control. He doesn’t have a third pitch, and lefties had a .374 OBP against him this year, while his arm swing is long with a high elbow in back, not a great sign for command or durability. He’d be a great target for a team like the Rays or Dodgers, who have strong track records with mechanical adjustments and might see him as a future first-rounder if he were to go to LSU and have success there.

97. Jackson Cox, RHP, Toutle High (Toutle Lake, Wash.)

Cox, an Oregon commit, has a simple delivery that’s very online to the plate and a three-pitch mix that features a plus curveball with high spin rates and late two-plane break. He’s got some feel for a changeup already with some fading action to it and an average fastball that’s mostly 92-94 mph. He doesn’t have the pure physical projection of many of the other prep arms ranked above him, with just decent arm speed, but the fact that he has an out pitch now and might get to another above-average to plus weapon with his changeup give him upside of a different sort.

98. Jared McKenzie, OF, Baylor

McKenzie struggled on the Cape last summer and hasn’t repeated his performance from last spring for the Bears, hitting for less average without more than 45 power. He hits right-handers well enough and can play center, but doesn’t hit lefties at all, so he might have a role as a platoon player.

99. J.T. Quinn, RHP, Berkeley Prep (Tampa, Fla.)

Quinn missed last summer with a forearm strain, but the Ole Miss commit has been up to 95 mph this spring with a plus curveball and still offers a lot of projection if teams are comfortable that he’s completely healthy.

100. Greg Pace, OF, Detroit Edison High

Pace is a plus runner with bat speed and a lot of physical projection, but the competition he’s faced in the city of Detroit probably puts him behind other high school players in pitch recognition.

Keith Law’s top 100 MLB Draft prospects










Druw Jones


Wesleyan High (Suwanee, Ga.)


Cameron Collier


Chipola College


Termarr Johnson


Mays High (Atlanta)


Elijah Green


IMG Academy


Brooks Lee


Cal Poly


Jackson Holliday


Stillwater (Okla.) High


Kevin Parada


Georgia Tech


Jace Jung


Texas Tech


Zach Neto




Gavin Cross


Virginia Tech


Jett Williams


Rockwall-Heath (Texas) High


Cole Young


North Allegheny High (Wexford, Pa.)


Brock Jones




Daniel Susac




Jordan Beck




Dylan Lesko


Buford (Ga.) High


Brock Porter


St. Mary’s Prep (Orchard Lake, Mich.)


Carson Whisenhunt


East Carolina


Sterlin Thompson




Ian Ritchie


Bainbridge High (Bainbridge, Wash.)


Brandon Barriera


American Heritage High (Plantation, Fla.)


Drew Gilbert




Justin Crawford


Bishop Gorman High (Las Vegas)


Adam Mazur




Jacob Melton


Oregon State


Peyton Graham




Jacob Berry




Connor Prielipp




Walter Ford


Pace (Fla.) High


Thomas Harrington




Gabriel Hughes




Robby Snelling


McQueen High (Reno, Nev.)


Blade Tidwell




Kumar Rocker


No school


Tucker Toman


Hammond High (Columbia, S.C.)


Chase Delauter


James Madison


Logan Tanner


Mississippi St


Jackson Ferris


IMG Academy


Justin Campbell


Oklahoma State


Max Wagner




Dalton Rushing




Mikey Romero


Orange Lutheran


Jacob Miller


Liberty Union High (Baltimore, Ohio)


Jake Madden


Northwest Florida State


Noah Schultz


Oswego (Ill.) East High


Jonathan Cannon




Jud Fabian




Nick Morabito


Gonzaga College High


Sonny DiChiara




Eric Brown


Coastal Carolina


Roman Anthony


Stoneman-Douglas High


Trey Dombroski




Bradley Loftin


DeSoto Central HS


Cooper Hjerpe


Oregon State


Andrew Dutkanych


Brebeuf Jesuit Prep (Indianapolis)


Jared Jones


Walton High (Marietta, Ga.)


Peyton Pallette




Sal Stewart


Westminster Christian HS


Ike Irish


St. Mary’s Prep (Orchard Lake, Mich.)


Henry Williams




Cade Doughty




Cole Phillips


Boerne (Texas) High


Dylan Beavers




Drew Thorpe


Cal Poly


Bryce Hubbart


Florida State


Cutter Coffey


Liberty High (Bakersfield, Calif.)


Jacob Watters


West Virginia


Landon Sims


Mississippi St


Cayden Wallace




Ivan Melendez




Parker Messick


Florida State


Tristan Smith


Boiling Springs High (Spartanburg, S.C.)


Brady Neal


IMG Academy


Hunter Barco




Jordan Sprinkle


UC Santa Barbara


Dominic Keegan




Clark Elliott




Josh Kasevich




Spencer Jones




Ryan Clifford


Pro5 Baseball Academy (Apex, N.C.)


Brandon Sproat




Noah Samol


Mason (Ohio) High


Reggie Crawford




Paxton Kling


Central High (Martinsburg, Pa.)


Jordan Taylor


St. John’s Country Day High (Orange Park, Fla.)


Zach Maxwell


Georgia Tech


Nate Savino




Jack O’Connor


Bishop O’Connell High (Arlington, Va.)


Gavin Turley


Hamilton High (Chandler, Ariz.)


Riley Stanford


Buford (Ga.) High


Jacob Reimer


Yucaipa (Calif.) High


RJ Austin


Pace Academy


Max Martin


Moorestown (N.J.) High


Marcus Johnson




Silas Ardoin




Jacob Misiorowski


Crowder College


Jackson Cox


Toutle High (Toutle Lake, Wash.)


Jared McKenzie




TJ Quinn


Berkeley Prep (Tampa, Fla.)


Greg Pace


Detroit Edison High

(Illustration: John Bradford / The Athletic; Photos: Mike Janes / AP, Daniel Shirley / Getty, Mark J. Rebilas / USA Today)


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