2022 Masters picks, odds: Expert predictions, favorites to win from betting field at Augusta National

With the 86th Masters fast approaching, the key question everyone’s asking is the same across the golf world: Who are you picking to win at Augusta National? With a tremendous field featuring most of the best professionals and a few of the top amateurs in the world, the first major of 2022 should be an epic ride from Thursday’s first round onward.

This year’s Masters is as wide open as any in recent memory. There is no favorite in the single digits this time around, and nobody has emerged as tea player to beat over 72 holes. The two hottest players in the world — Cameron Smith and Scottie Scheffler — are both nice picks but not considered heavyweight favorites at Augusta. Conversely, many of the top stars in the world have not won so far in 2022 and several of them have a dodgy history with this course.

Then there is the Tiger Woods conundrum. What do you do with a five-time Masters winner who has not played an official event in 17 months but also might know the golf course better than anyone who has ever played it? Woods indicated that he is indeed going to tee it up on Thursday morning alongside Louis Oosthuizen and Joaquin Niemann, and the potential outcomes for him might be wider than anyone else in the field.

Add it all up, and it would appear that we’re in for a wild Masters week full of unexpected twists and turns but also a lot of familiar names atop the leaderboard.

So what is going to happen this week at Augusta? Let’s take a look at a full set of predictions and picks from our CBS Sports experts as we attempt to project who will win — and what will happen — at the most prestigious golf tournament in the world. Check out a full set of 2022 Masters odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.

2022 Masters expert picks, predictions

Kyle Porter, golf writer

Winner — Justin Thomas (12-1): I have some conflicted feelings about JT at Augusta National, where he clearly does not putt the ball well. However, in the weeks leading into this one, it has felt (and looked, statistically) as if he was building toward a massive victory. You could have said the same over the first few rounds at the Masters last year, too, before an 8 on the par-5 13th led to 75 and undid his chances of winning. His driving can get wayward at times so the big number is always a concern, but if the weather gets a little squirrely later this week — and it might — Thomas proved at the Players Championship that he has probably more game than anyone to stand up to it.

Sleeper — Si Woo Kim (65-1): There are a few things I love about Kim this week. The first is that he’s showed the propensity to win massive events before (he dominated the 2017 Players), and the second is that he low-key plays Augusta National tremendously. Kim has four straight made cuts here, including three top 25s and a sneaky T12 in 2021 when he putted with his 3-wood for part of the tournament. There are a handful of players at 50-1 or longer (Adam Scott and Russell Henley included) that stand out, but Kim is my favorite of the bunch.

Top 10 lock — Brooks Koepka: There’s a lot to like about Koepka this week. He’s been playing good golf (three top 20s in his last four starts). He’s seemingly as healthy as he’s been in a long time (certainly healthier than last year when he was climbing up the hill on No. 13 following a knee issue). And of course, the fact that he just destroys at major championships with 12 (twelve!) top 10s in his last 16 starts at the four biggest events.

Star who definitely won’t win — Rory McIlroy: It pains me to say it, but McIlroy has been struggling with his irons more than somebody who wants to win at Augusta National should. His top-10 record at this event is tremendous (nobody has more than his six over the last 10 years), but he has yet to properly execute what he referenced earlier this week as a “negative” game plan where he plays away from trouble , takes full advantage of the par 5s and hits everything pin high. I would love to see that happen this week, but even last week at the Texas Open, he struggled with distance control which did not engender a ton of optimism.

Surprise prediction — Tiger Woods makes the cut: Perhaps this would be considered more surprising three weeks or two months ago than it is after seeing how healthy and fit Woods looked at the beginning of the week. However, it should still be completely astonishing if somebody who nearly lost a leg 14 months ago is playing the weekend at the most prestigious golf tournament in the world.

Lowest round: 65 (-7)
Winning score: 275 (-13)
Winner’s Sunday score: 69 (-3)

Chip Patterson, writer

Winner — Xander Schauele (20-1): If he stays true to form, Schauffele will be at a minimum in the mix to win and if you’re consistently putting yourself within a handful of shots of the lead the odds favor the tournament breaking your way eventually. Schauffele’s last two starts at Augusta in April have been T2 and T3, coming up just short of Hideki Matsuyama last year thanks in part to splashing his tee shot on the par-3 16th. He can play this course well and I expect him to do so based on recent form, and this is great value on a player with a high floor for performance in this tournament.

Sleeper — Kevin Kisner (100-1): Seeing Kisner have a strong showing at a match play event is not a huge surprise. The WGC-Dell Technologies Match Play has been the setting for three of Kisner’s five best finishes (one win, two runner-ups), but it’s the other results this year that have me intrigued in his chances. He started the year with back-to-back top-10s in Hawaii then after a couple up-and-down weeks resurfaced as a contender at The Players, where he finished solo fourth. Contending here would admittedly be a big jump from his Masters finishes (two missed Curts and no top-20 finishes in six starts), but the Aiken, South Carolina, native and former Georgia Bulldogs golfer could quickly become a patron favorite if he strings together a couple good rounds.

Top 10 lock — Jon Rahm: No betting favorite has won the Masters since Tiger in 2005, but that doesn’t mean we shouldn’t line up with Rahm as the surest bet to finish on the first page of the leaderboard. He’s got four top-10 finishes in his last four Masters starts and went on a run earlier this year that included three top-10 finishes in four starts. The consistency with Rahm is so strong that even if he has one awful round, you still have a chance for him to backdoor a top-10 by going low in an early morning weekend round.

Star who definitely won’t win — Dustin Johnson: The 2020 Masters champ came back to the property five months laster and missed the cut in 2021, and that was the first of five missed cuts across his last 20 starts. I’m not expecting DJ to miss the cut again, but since the start of last year, he’s been a star who’s been good but not excellent. Actually winning the Masters usually requires excellence, and if he DJ can tap into that, it would be a turn of form based on recent results.

Surprise prediction — Tony Finau finishes in the top 10: Why is it a surprise prediction that someone with three top-10 finishes in last four Masters starts might do so again? Well, if you haven’t checked in on Big Tone recently, things have been moving in the wrong direction. In nine starts since the beginning of 2022, Finau has finished in the top 20 just once (a T19 in Hawaii in early January) and missed the cut three times. His world ranking peaked at No. 9 after beating Cam Smith in a playoff at the Northern Trust last August but has since slid down to No. 22. My surprise prediction is this special place — where he popped his ankle back into place and shot a 68 the next day back in 2018 — brings a special performance from Finau.

Lowest round: 63 (-9)
Winning score: 275 (-13)
Winner’s Sunday Score: 69 (-3)

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Kyle Boone, writer

Winner — Collin Morikawa (20-1): Two-time major champion, still 25 years old, one of golf’s best and most consistent ball-strikers. What’s not to like here, especially at 20-1? His putting has improved substantially, too, and tee-to-green he’s one of the best on the PGA Tour. Completing the third leg of the career grand slam at his age would put him in some rarefied air.

Sleeper — Tiger Woods (50-1): It’s been well over a year since Tiger played in a real event, so I wouldn’t empty the bank account here just because Woods’ odds to win a Masters are this long. He could easily be back home by Saturday. Goal…it’s Tiger…at 50-1. And he’s apparently looked sharp in practice rounds. There are probably worse, less fun ways to wager money than on the GOAT

Top 10 lock — Jordan Spieth: With two top-three finishes in his last four Masters outings and five in his career, Spieth is nearly always in the mix at Augusta National, having never missed a cut. His last few events have kept the hype train largely away from him entering this year, but Spieth at Augusta National is Spieth at Augusta National — he should be in the hunt to the end.

Star who definitely won’t win — Rory McIlroy: Rory’s trajectory at Augusta National and recent play this season suggests he may be in the thick of things this weekend, which sometimes is the exact spot where he tends to underperform. Physically, there are few as gifted as him and capable of taking the course, but he’s never quite cracked the Masters code and this week doesn’t feel like the place he does.

Surprise prediction — Tiger finishes in the top 25: Yes, yes, I know he’s not played on the PGA Tour in well over a year. And going from training and practice rounds to four grinding days at Augusta is quite the chore. But Tiger’s proved doubters wrong before, and I really don’t think he’d rush his way back onto the biggest stage in golf only to do some sort of grand appearance to prove he’s healthy. I think he wants to prove him and his game are both in a healthy spot.

Lowest round: 65 (-7)
Winning score: 277 (-10)
Winner’s Sunday score: 67 (-5)

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